Meteorology State Agency (Aemet) models indicate a trend of above-average temperatures and precipitation for July and August in the Canary Islands. Víctor Quintero, Aemet's territorial delegate in Santa Cruz de Tenerife, stated that forecasts show higher-than-normal temperatures for the coming weeks, a situation that could extend into mid-July. He cautioned, however, that seasonal forecasts provide general scenarios and cannot predict specific events like heatwaves this far in advance.
Initial June data already reflect this trend, with temperatures above usual values up to the 14th, while rainfall has been scarce, as expected for the first half of the month. The San Juan night might see light rain in various parts of the archipelago, primarily affecting the northern slopes of the western islands and Gran Canaria.
This summer forecast sharply contrasts with the spring, which experienced cooler-than-normal conditions. The March-May quarter averaged 16.4 degrees Celsius, 0.3 degrees below the average, with more significant anomalies in the western islands and Gran Canaria. March, in particular, was described as very cold, with an average temperature of 14.6 degrees and an anomaly of -1.2 degrees.
April and May tempered the spring's overall balance with episodes of intense heat. Exceptionally high temperatures were recorded between April 15th and 19th, and a similar situation occurred from May 20th to 26th, with highs reaching 37.9 degrees Celsius in La Aldea de San Nicolás and 35.2 degrees in Tías, Lanzarote.
Spring was notably wet, accumulating an average of 180 millimeters of precipitation, which is 347% more than usual, making it the wettest season in Aemet's reference period. This was largely due to the passage of storms Regina and Therese in March. March alone recorded an average of 144.6 millimeters of rain, 456% above normal, with April and May also significantly exceeding their averages.
The highest rainfall totals were observed in areas such as Roque de los Muchachos, San Mateo, San Bartolomé de Tirajana, and El Paso. Large areas in northeastern Tenerife, northern Gran Canaria, Lanzarote, and Fuerteventura received over 100 millimeters. The current hydrological year ranks as the seventh wettest since records began in 1961. Other notable phenomena included snowfall at Izaña and Roque de los Muchachos, winds exceeding 100 km/h during Therese, over 4,000 lightning strikes, and episodes of calima (Saharan dust).
